Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.317799 0.370191 0.428653 0.498756 0.580586 0.673153 0.785911
2025-02-02 0.243788 0.315261 0.403810 0.521745 0.674999 0.867834 1.129603
2025-02-09 0.202631 0.281463 0.386388 0.536605 0.746815 1.031551 1.448326
2025-02-16 0.171904 0.253043 0.367508 0.541318 0.799703 1.171455 1.750327
2025-02-23 0.147046 0.227526 0.346895 0.537601 0.836326 1.289183 2.033305
2025-03-02 0.124923 0.202035 0.321603 0.521455 0.849431 1.370361 2.268506
2025-03-09 0.113637 0.191421 0.317074 0.536045 0.911220 1.533422 2.655159
2025-03-16 0.101845 0.178089 0.305975 0.537560 0.950413 1.662939 3.001663
2025-03-23 0.093360 0.169067 0.300607 0.547551 1.004523 1.823342 3.422864
2025-03-30 0.083059 0.155379 0.285214 0.537272 1.020205 1.916356 3.731810
2025-04-06 0.074948 0.144593 0.273569 0.532070 1.044006 2.026177 4.086206
2025-04-13 0.068714 0.136525 0.265890 0.533206 1.079650 2.162098 4.509503
2025-04-20 0.065884 0.134909 0.270659 0.560098 1.171358 2.422707 5.231348
2025-04-27 0.063033 0.132917 0.274491 0.585714 1.264231 2.698676 6.028571
2025-05-04 0.059560 0.129154 0.274183 0.602441 1.340190 2.948609 6.804839
2025-05-11 0.055413 0.123407 0.268970 0.607743 1.391575 3.151520 7.503561
2025-05-18 0.050933 0.116354 0.260063 0.603561 1.420765 3.308193 8.116199
2025-05-25 0.045890 0.107404 0.245881 0.585393 1.414849 3.382915 8.540734
2025-06-01 0.043802 0.105046 0.246359 0.601811 1.493787 3.668595 9.534258
2025-06-08 0.040922 0.100445 0.241059 0.603515 1.536671 3.871935 10.346107
2025-06-15 0.038881 0.097638 0.239688 0.614758 1.605038 4.147663 11.390620
2025-06-22 0.035719 0.091652 0.229860 0.603191 1.612696 4.268496 12.031253
2025-06-29 0.033159 0.086900 0.222572 0.597338 1.634793 4.430228 12.811144